Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco1 - 0St Etienne
We said: Monaco 3-0 Saint-Etienne
Even without Ben Yedder lurking in the final third, Monaco possess more than enough offensive firepower to put Saint-Etienne to the sword on Saturday, perhaps by an identical scoreline to their Barcelona battering. While a good chunk of Les Verts' defenders have Ligue 1 experience, the visitors lack a genuine threat up top and will surely struggle to stay afloat in the top division. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
45.92% ( -0.25) | 23.52% ( 0.25) | 30.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
