Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
45.92% (![]() | 23.52% (![]() | 30.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.54% (![]() | 40.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.16% (![]() | 62.83% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% (![]() | 17.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.29% (![]() | 48.71% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% (![]() | 25.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% (![]() | 60.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 10.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
2 | Marseille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
3 | NantesNantes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Lyon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
17 | Angers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |