Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC
While Montpellier have got a major monkey off their back by claiming their first win of the season, Der Zakarian's men remain as vulnerable as ever in defence and should be given a harsh reality check in the principality. Monaco could be forgiven for having one eye on their impending Champions League trip, but we have complete faith in Hutter's side to warm up for their trip to Croatia with a fourth win on the spin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
63.23% ( -0.89) | 19.48% ( 0.47) | 17.29% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
