Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
72.43% (![]() | 15.73% (![]() | 11.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.04% (![]() | 29.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.86% (![]() | 51.14% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.79% (![]() | 7.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.84% (![]() | 26.16% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.75% (![]() | 37.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% (![]() | 74.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 9.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 6.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 3.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 9 |
2 | Marseille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
3 | NantesNantes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Lyon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 |
17 | Angers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |