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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
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Nantes
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Reims
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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
PSG logo

Lorient
1 - 4
PSG

Bamba (73')
Bakayoko (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dembele (19', 60'), Mbappe (22', 90')
Mendes (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Despite picking up four points from their last two Ligue 1 meetings with PSG — a 3-1 win in Paris in April 2023 and a goalless game in this season's reverse fixture — Enrique's team should end that two-match winless sequence against Les Merlus on Wednesday, taking another step towards a 12th top-flight crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawParis Saint-Germain
9.53% (-0.0419 -0.04) 14.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 76.12% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.89% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)30.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.68% (-0.1 -0.1)51.32% (0.104 0.1)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-0.147 -0.15)41.42% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-0.131 -0.13)77.93% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)6.53% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.37% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 9.53%
    Paris Saint-Germain 76.12%
    Draw 14.35%
LorientDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 2.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.53%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.35%
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 2.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.55% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-6 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 76.12%

How you voted: Lorient vs PSG

Lorient
9.3%
Draw
8.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
82.2%
129
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
1-3
Lorient
Mbappe (29')
Le Fee (15'), Yongwa (39'), Dieng (88')
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Lorient
1-2
PSG
Moffi (53')
Neymar (9'), Pereira (81')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
5-1
Lorient
Neymar (12', 90'), Mbappe (28', 67'), Messi (73')
Gueye (53'), Kimpembe (57')
Moffi (56')
Kone (38')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lorient
1-1
PSG
Monconduit (40')
Ouattara (43')
Icardi (90+1')
Ramos (81'), Wijnaldum (85')
Ramos (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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