MX23RW : Monday, June 24 12:46:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lyon

PSG
4 - 1
Lyon

Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Nuamah (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Brest
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Lyon

After the elation of Tuesday night, we are expecting a potentially limp performance from PSG on Sunday, when Lyon could end up earning a result from their visit to the French capital. Les Gones are enjoying a good run of form and will be confident of upsetting the odds at Parc des Princes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
47.17% (0.168 0.17) 23.06% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 29.76% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)38.68% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01% (-0.163 -0.16)60.98% (0.16 0.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.191 -0.19)25.17% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.262 -0.26)59.89% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.17%
    Lyon 29.76%
    Draw 23.05%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.17%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.76%

How you voted: PSG vs Lyon

Paris Saint-Germain
72.5%
Draw
17.5%
Lyon
10.0%
80
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
2-1
Lyon
Neymar (66' pen.), Icardi (90+2')
di Maria (6'), Marquinhos (67'), Mendes (89')
Paqueta (54')
Lopes (80')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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