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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Clermont Foot

PSG
1 - 1
Clermont

Ramos (85')
Ugarte (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keita (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Rennes
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Clermont

Despite rotation being likely, PSG should still comfortably sweep Clermont aside here to move one step closer to a third straight title. With relegation likely to be imminent, any result would be potentially huge for Clermont, but it is hard to make a case for them being competitive here, despite holding PSG to a 0-0 draw in September. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 7.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawClermont
78.34% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09) 13.97% (0.036 0.04) 7.69% (0.048 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.03% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.26% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.72% (0.020000000000003 0.02)57.28% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)7.23% (0.011 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.78% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)26.22% (0.032 0.03)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.69% (0.14 0.14)49.3% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.83% (0.1 0.1)84.17% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 78.33%
    Clermont 7.69%
    Draw 13.97%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawClermont
2-0 @ 12.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 13.97%
0-1 @ 2.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 7.69%

How you voted: PSG vs Clermont

Paris Saint-Germain
94.4%
Draw
4.2%
Clermont
1.4%
71
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 7
Clermont
0-0
PSG
Gonalons (57'), Oumar Konate (90')
Zaire-Emery (75'), Mbappe (81'), Ruiz (90+3')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
PSG
2-3
Clermont
Ramos (16'), Mbappe (21' pen.)
Mbappe (28'), Pereira (76')
Gastien (24'), Zeffane (45+1'), Kyei (63')
Wieteska (90+1')
Aug 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Clermont
0-5
PSG

Allevinah (38'), Gonalons (67')
Neymar (9'), Hakimi (26'), Marquinhos (38'), Messi (80', 86')
Vitinha (13')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Clermont
1-6
PSG
Dossou (42')
Gastien (70')
Neymar (6', 71', 83'), Mbappe (19', 74', 80')
Neymar (53')
Sep 11, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
4-0
Clermont
Herrera (20', 31'), Mbappe (55'), Gueye (65')

Zedadka (10')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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