Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient0 - 2Lyon
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tagliafico (52'), Balde (64')
We said: Lorient 1-1 Lyon
Prone to shipping goals on the road - failing to keep a clean sheet in their last four away matches - a Lyon side who should be ruing the absence of Lacazette once again could be in for a rough ride against a resurgent Lorient team. Victories against Les Merlus have been hard to come by for the visitors in recent times too, and with Bamba in the form of his life while Gift Orban still waits to open his Ligue 1 account, we can envisage Le Bris's team snatching a point from Saturday's affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
19.92% ( 0) | 22.87% ( 0) | 57.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
