Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Auckland FC2 - 1Macarthur
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Macarthur |
37.74% ( 0.64) | 25.33% ( 0.25) | 36.93% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
