Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Macarthur has a probability of 36.05% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.29%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win is 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.01%).
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
36.05% ( 0.05) | 22.03% ( -0.23) | 41.92% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 68.96% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.93% ( 1.19) | 31.07% ( -1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.52% ( 1.4) | 52.47% ( -1.4) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.83% ( 0.56) | 18.17% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.85% ( 0.94) | 49.15% ( -0.94) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.27% ( 0.56) | 15.73% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.18% ( 1.03) | 44.82% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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