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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
vs.
Wellington

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Central Coast vs. Melbourne City
Tuesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Wellington
Sunday, December 22 at 6am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Wellington vs. Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 28 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.53% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
57.52% (-0.641 -0.64) 20.96% (0.235 0.23) 21.53% (0.414 0.41)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.57% (-0.558 -0.56)36.43% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.43% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)58.57% (0.62 0.62)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.35700000000001 -0.36)12.55% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.756 -0.76)38.59% (0.76300000000001 0.76)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (0.058 0.06)66.26% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 57.52%
    Wellington Phoenix 21.53%
    Draw 20.96%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 21.53%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8am
Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
1-0
Wellington
Souprayen (58')
Jeggo (15'), Souprayen (72'), Nabbout (79'), Jakolis (84')

Salas (34'), Barbarouses (70'), Rufer (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Kraev (48')
Kraev (72')

Good (68')
Apr 10, 2023 7am
Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
4-1
Wellington
MacLaren (34', 52'), Tilio (57', 83')
Ugarkovic (49')
Jan 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 10
Wellington
1-3
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
rhs 2.0
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