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Adelaide United
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Western Sydney Wanderers
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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Wellington

Politidis (7'), Atkinson (83')
Trewin (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 28 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
58.2% (0.606 0.61) 20.94% (0.026 0.03) 20.86% (-0.625 -0.63)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.081 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.979 -0.98)37.3% (0.983 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-1.062 -1.06)59.51% (1.068 1.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)12.63% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (-0.289 -0.29)38.76% (0.294 0.29)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-1.125 -1.13)31.22% (1.13 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-1.334 -1.33)67.56% (1.337 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 58.2%
    Wellington Phoenix 20.86%
    Draw 20.94%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.309 0.31)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.341 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8am
Gameweek 20
Melbourne City
1-0
Wellington
Souprayen (58')
Jeggo (15'), Souprayen (72'), Nabbout (79'), Jakolis (84')

Salas (34'), Barbarouses (70'), Rufer (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Kraev (48')
Kraev (72')

Good (68')
Apr 10, 2023 7am
Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
4-1
Wellington
MacLaren (34', 52'), Tilio (57', 83')
Ugarkovic (49')
Jan 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 10
Wellington
1-3
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
rhs 2.0
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