Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
46.07% ( -0.13) | 23.85% ( 0.13) | 30.08% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.67% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% ( -0.59) | 42.24% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.35% ( -0.59) | 64.64% ( 0.59) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.29) | 18.55% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( -0.49) | 49.8% ( 0.49) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -0.29) | 26.74% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( -0.38) | 62.01% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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