Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
42.77% ( -0.19) | 22.81% ( 0.09) | 34.42% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 65.5% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.59% ( -0.42) | 35.41% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.55% ( -0.48) | 57.45% ( 0.48) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( -0.25) | 17.16% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.6% ( -0.44) | 47.4% ( 0.44) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -0.14) | 20.94% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( -0.23) | 53.68% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 34.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |