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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 4.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.77%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
86.48% (![]() | 8.75% (![]() | 4.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.44% (![]() | 19.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
62.54% (![]() | 37.46% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.01% (![]() | 2.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.54% (![]() | 13.46% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.17% (![]() | 44.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.2% (![]() | 80.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
3-0 @ 9.66% (![]() 4-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 5.19% Total : 86.48% | 1-1 @ 3.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 8.75% | 1-2 @ 1.51% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 4.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 42 |
10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
11 | Stuttgart | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 40 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
16 | Heidenheim | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |