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Bundesliga
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Holstein Kiel
4 - 2
Dortmund

Machino (27'), Harres (32'), Bernhardsson (45+4'), Arp (90+8')
Porath (81'), Arp (90+9')
Holtby (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Reyna (71'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Duranville (42'), Anton (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

 If Dortmund come into the clash with several first-team starters missing due to illness, Holstein Kiel could have an opportunity to boost their survival chances. However, Sahin's side still managed to score twice against the champions, and their attacking firepower could help them escape Holstein-Stadion with three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Dortmund
24.88% (0.122 0.12) 21.33%53.79% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.26% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.74% (0.124 0.12)34.26% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.84% (0.139 0.14)56.16% (-0.137 -0.14)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.15599999999999 0.16)26.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.207 0.21)61.3% (-0.204 -0.2)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)39.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 24.88%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.79%
    Draw 21.33%
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.88%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.34% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Dortmund

Holstein Kiel
16.4%
Draw
12.1%
Borussia Dortmund
71.6%
116
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Dortmund
5-0
Holstein Kiel
Reyna (16', 23'), Reus (26'), Hazard (32'), Bellingham (41')

Hauptmann (37'), Lorenz (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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