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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Bayern logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 6
Bayern

Gigovic (82')
Rapp (89')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Musiala (1'), Kane (7', 43', 90+1' pen.), Remberg (13' og.), Olise (65')
Palhinha (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-5 Bayern Munich

While Holstein Kiel were competitive in their loss against Wolfsburg, they still conceded several chances themselves. It would not be surprising if Bayern's superior attacking quality punished mistakes in their hosts' backline, and the Bavarians should be seen as strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawBayern Munich
22.85% (0.1 0.1) 19.82% (0.081 0.08) 57.33% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.9% (-0.273 -0.27)29.1% (0.275 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.9% (-0.335 -0.34)50.1% (0.337 0.34)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)24.84% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.116 -0.12)59.44% (0.117 0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.128 -0.13)10.29% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.32% (-0.295 -0.3)33.68% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 22.85%
    Bayern Munich 57.33%
    Draw 19.82%
Holstein KielDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.56% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 22.85%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 2.56% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.82%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.86% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.81% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 57.33%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Bayern

Holstein Kiel
17.9%
Draw
4.7%
Bayern Munich
77.4%
106
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Holstein Kiel
2-2
Bayern
(Aggregate 2-2 | Holstein Kiel win 6-5 on penalties)
Bartels (37'), Wahl (90+5')
Meffert (45')
Gnabry (14'), Sane (47')
Sule (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81


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