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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.85% ( 0.1) | 19.82% ( 0.08) | 57.33% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.9% ( -0.27) | 29.1% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.9% ( -0.34) | 50.1% ( 0.34) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% ( -0.08) | 24.84% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% ( -0.12) | 59.44% ( 0.12) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% ( -0.13) | 10.29% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.32% ( -0.3) | 33.68% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.85% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.82% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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