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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 1, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Freiburg

Kane (38' pen.), Muller (78')
Upamecano (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Freiburg

Although Bayern have still not solved their defensive issues, their attacking prowess should be more than enough to earn them a second consecutive league victory. However, it would not be surprising if Freiburg managed to take an early lead and cause their hosts difficulty in the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
77.27% (-0.253 -0.25) 13.82% (0.214 0.21) 8.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.45% (-1.029 -1.03)29.55% (1.027 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.35% (-1.259 -1.26)50.64% (1.257 1.26)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)6.2% (0.2599 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.55% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)23.45% (0.731 0.73)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (-0.706 -0.71)42.26% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (-0.614 -0.61)78.66% (0.61200000000001 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 77.27%
    Freiburg 8.91%
    Draw 13.82%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.291 0.29)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.317 0.32)
4-0 @ 6.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-0 @ 3.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 77.27%
1-1 @ 6.28% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.62% (0.152 0.15)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.82%
1-2 @ 2.7% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.91%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Freiburg
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gunter (12'), Holer (87')
Holer (90+4')
Tel (35'), Musiala (75')
Tel (73'), Pavlovic (79')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
3-0
Freiburg
Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heidenheim22006066
2Bayern MunichBayern22005236
3RB Leipzig22004226
4Borussia DortmundDortmund21102024
5Union BerlinUnion Berlin21102114
6Wolfsburg21014313
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach21014313
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21015503
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21013303
10Freiburg21013303
11Hoffenheim210145-13
12Mainz 05Mainz20204402
13Werder Bremen20202202
14Stuttgart201146-21
15Augsburg201126-41
16Holstein Kiel200225-30
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum200203-30
18St Pauli200203-30


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