DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Mirco Aghetoni
Osnabruck0 - 4Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osnabruck 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: VfL Osnabruck 1-3 Freiburg
While Osnabruck have struggled for goals in competitive matches, Freiburg's leaky pre-season rearguard should gift the third-tier side a goal on Saturday. However, the Bundesliga outfit are not expected to suffer a first-round exit, and we are backing them to notch a victory in Lower Saxony. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Osnabruck | Draw | Freiburg |
37.28% ( -0.05) | 24.35% ( -0.13) | 38.37% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
