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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
37.68% ( 0.98) | 25.4% ( 0.18) | 36.92% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.52% ( -0.81) | 47.48% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% ( -0.75) | 69.69% ( 0.75) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0.17) | 24.73% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.71% ( 0.23) | 59.29% ( -0.23) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -1) | 25.14% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( -1.4) | 59.86% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.68% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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