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Bayern logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
1 - 2
Freiburg

Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Mane (90+2'), Musiala (90+3'), Pavard (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

Bayern appeared to be back to their dominant best against Dortmund, with Tuchel's superior experience compared to his predecessor potentially set to take them over the line on both domestic fronts. Freiburg have been pushed to the limit by their exertions in three competitions this season, and they have struggled to turn draws into victories of late, but they are unlikely to get close to having the chance to achieve that on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
67.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.52%15.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 61.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87%30.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.01% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.06%
    Freiburg 15.41%
    Draw 17.52%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.78%
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.73%
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.4%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-2 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.52%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-1 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
92.6%
Draw
4.9%
Freiburg
2.5%
81
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
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