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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
73.11% | 16.03% | 10.85% |
Both teams to score 53.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.46% | 34.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.52% | 56.49% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% | 8.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.4% | 28.61% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.88% | 42.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.46% | 78.54% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.65% 4-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 2.83% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.11% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.04% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.22% 0-1 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |