Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica0 - 4Bayern
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.88% | 21.46% | 48.66% |
Both teams to score 68.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.3% | 30.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.97% | 52.03% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% | 13.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.96% | 40.04% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica 29.88%
Bayern Munich 48.66%
Draw 21.46%
Benfica | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 6.84% 1-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 5.71% 0-1 @ 5.66% 2-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 3.03% 2-4 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.66% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Bayern
Benfica
10.5%Draw
6.1%Bayern Munich
83.4%506
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-24 09:53:10
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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