MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 00:07:16| >> :600:337507:337507:
Freiburg logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Europa Park Stadium
Juventus logo

Freiburg
0 - 2
Juventus


Gulde (26'), Hofler (44'), Sallai (87'), Streich (88')
Gulde (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (45' pen.), Chiesa (90+5')
Vlahovic (56'), Iling (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Juventus (Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

In search of redemption for recent off-field misdeeds - and also a first European trophy since 1996 - Juventus are sure to take their task very seriously. As Freiburg have been short of top form for a while, the Bianconeri's greater individual quality and experience at this level - both evident in the first leg - should see them through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawJuventus
39.22% (1.141 1.14) 26% (0.108 0.11) 34.78% (-1.244 -1.24)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.593 -0.59)50.33% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.528 -0.53)72.27% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.349 0.35)25.2% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.474 0.47)59.94% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-1.025 -1.02)27.74% (1.028 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-1.334 -1.33)63.31% (1.337 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 39.22%
    Juventus 34.78%
    Draw 26%
FreiburgDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Juventus

Freiburg
20.1%
Draw
15.5%
Juventus
64.4%
194
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Juventus
1-0
Freiburg
Di Maria (53')
Bremer (72'), Bonucci (84')

Ginter (24'), Holer (51')
rhs 2.0
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