Freiburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 7 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-0 Stuttgart
Although Freiburg are yet to find their top form since returning to action after the World Cup, it is surely only a matter of time until Streich's side put together the sort of winning run we have seen so often from them in recent times. Stuttgart, on the other hand, appear to be in a significant spot of bother having only won three league games so far this season. They are likely to fall to a third successive defeat on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
58.06% ( 0.59) | 21.42% ( -0.24) | 20.51% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.61) | 40.03% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.62) | 62.39% ( -0.63) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.38) | 13.55% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.36% ( 0.76) | 40.63% ( -0.76) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0) | 33.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0) | 69.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.51% |
