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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Rose (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fuhrich (68' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-0 Stuttgart

 With Stuttgart likely to be missing key personnel through injury and suspension, we expect Leipzig's impressive run of results to continue with a comfortable victory on Friday night. Rose's side are unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions and appear to be Bayern's biggest threat at the top of the table on current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
67.72% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 14.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56%9.44% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29%31.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.73% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.72%
    Stuttgart 14.32%
    Draw 17.96%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.72%
1-1 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-1 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.32%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
84.4%
Draw
10.9%
Stuttgart
4.7%
128
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')
Jan 2, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
RB Leipzig

Stenzel (21'), Sosa (49')
Olmo (67')
Sabitzer (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239
> Bundesliga Full Table


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