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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Amiri (69'), Hlozek (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagadou (39'), Fuhrich (61'), Tomas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

There is little doubt that Leverkusen possess the attacking firepower to hurt Stuttgart, who are still awaiting their first league win on the road this season. As such, we can envisage Alonso's side racking up a third straight victory in the Bundesliga to potentially put serious distance between themselves and the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
66.4% (1.65 1.65) 18.97% (-0.529 -0.53) 14.62% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.103 0.1)39.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.108 0.11)61.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (0.45999999999999 0.46)10.93% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (1.013 1.01)35.13% (-1.016 -1.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-1.411 -1.41)39.29% (1.407 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (-1.344 -1.34)75.99% (1.338 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%
    Stuttgart 14.62%
    Draw 18.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.76% (0.392 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
85.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stuttgart
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 5, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Stuttgart
Bredlow (72' og.), Alario (83')
Weiser (30'), Hradecky (86')
Wamangituka (85')
Castro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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