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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Schalke

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Schalke

Diaby (38'), Frimpong (41', 53'), Paulinho (90')
Hincapie (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yoshida (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 2-3 Augsburg
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Schalke 04

 We expect Leverkusen to put their recent woes behind them to some extent by claiming a second league win of the season on Saturday, especially with a new manager to impress. Schalke look set for a long, difficult season ahead of them and there is little doubting the hosts' superiority in terms of their individual abilities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
60.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)38.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.002999999999993 -0)60.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.00099999999999767 0)69.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.1%
    Schalke 04 19.24%
    Draw 20.65%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.24%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Schalke

Bayer Leverkusen
85.1%
Draw
6.8%
Schalke 04
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Schalke
Alario (26'), Schick (72')
Tapsoba (73')
Huntelaar (81')
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Schalke
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Uth (11'), Hoppe (72')
Thiaw (10' og.), Baumgartlinger (67'), Schick (78')
Dragovic (58'), Tah (59'), Sinkgraven (71')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2020 5pm
Schalke
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Dec 7, 2019 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Schalke
Alario (15', 81')
Wendell (43'), Alario (83')
Raman (82')
Caligiuri (29'), Raman (53')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Schalke
Havertz (31')
Baumgartlinger (34'), Volland (52')
Burgstaller (47')
Nubel (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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