MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:43:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
56.81% (3.416 3.42) 22.53% (-0.919 -0.92) 20.66% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (1.064 1.06)44.84% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (1.017 1.02)67.2% (-1.02 -1.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (1.57 1.57)15.57% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (2.845 2.85)44.52% (-2.848 -2.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-1.766 -1.77)35.72% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-1.861 -1.86)72.49% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%
    Freiburg 20.66%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.426 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
55.4%
Draw
17.9%
Freiburg
26.8%
56
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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