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Freiburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Final
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Leipzig logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 RB Leipzig (RB Leipzig to win 3-2 after extra time)

 The German capital is set to host an intriguing final between two sides who are desperate to get their hands on their first major piece of silverware. While goals are to be expected considering the quality that both teams possess in the final third, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards, one which could even go beyond the 90 minutes. Leipzig will head into the final as slight favourites, and after two previous attempts at glory which ended in disappointment, we can see them lifting the trophy at the third time of asking this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.83% (0.00099999999999767 0) 48.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 66.62% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 48.79%
    Draw 21.83%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.79%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
31.4%
Draw
11.4%
RB Leipzig
57.1%
105
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Freiburg
Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
Demirovic (38')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
0-3
RB Leipzig

Hofler (52')
Nkunku (41'), Sorloth (64'), Forsberg (79')
Hee-chan (75')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Freiburg
rhs 2.0
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