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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Freiburg logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Freiburg

Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg

With Freiburg tending to struggle more on their travels compared to their strength on home soil, we can see the visitors being held at their struggling hosts on Saturday. On their days, these two sides are evenly matched and more than capable of qualifying for European football, but with the in-form side being the away team, and the hosts being in an end-of-season slump, we can see the two cancelling each other out in a tight affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
48.68%23.45%27.87%
Both teams to score 59.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66%17.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28%47.72%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37%63.63%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 48.68%
    Freiburg 27.88%
    Draw 23.44%
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg

Hoffenheim
27.0%
Draw
32.4%
Freiburg
40.5%
37
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Freiburg
Bebou (58')
Akpoguma (16'), Vogt (82')
Santamaria (7'), Grifo (34' pen.), Adams (42' og.)
Chang-hoon (24'), Hofler (36')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-0
Hoffenheim
Waldschmidt (40' pen.)
Holer (39'), Hofler (77'), Abrashi (92')

Dabour (39'), Rudy (66'), Hubner (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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