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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin

As was the case in midweek, we can see Leipzig coming out on top here against a visiting Union side that lacks the same quality and intensity when playing on the road. The late winner on Wednesday is sure to give the hosts a huge psychological advantage over their opponents too, and with the excellent form that they find themselves in during 2022, it is difficult to see many being able to stop them extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
69.38%18.07%12.55%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85%62.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63%10.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.13%33.87%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9%79.11%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 69.37%
    Union Berlin 12.55%
    Draw 18.07%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.39%
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 4.88%
4-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 8.54%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.07%
0-1 @ 3.77%
1-2 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.55%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
79.2%
Draw
8.3%
Union Berlin
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Union Berlin
Werner (51', 83'), Sabitzer (57')
Haidara (88')
Bulter (10')
Andersson (60'), Ryerson (71'), Parensen (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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