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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Baumgartl (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin have caused problems for Bayern Munich countless times in previous meetings, and we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet this weekend. However, the hosts will be fired up in a bid to turn their fortunes around and their elite attackers possess all the qualities required to outscore their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 5.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
82.78%11.26%5.95%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.74%28.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.92%49.07%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.01%4.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.06%19.93%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25%48.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22%83.77%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.78%
    Union Berlin 5.95%
    Draw 11.26%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
3-0 @ 10.93%
2-0 @ 10.93%
4-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.29%
4-1 @ 5.89%
5-0 @ 4.92%
5-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.82%
6-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.12%
6-1 @ 1.77%
5-2 @ 1.27%
7-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 82.78%
1-1 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 11.26%
1-2 @ 1.88%
0-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 5.95%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
Ingvartsen (86')
Dec 12, 2020 5.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')
May 17, 2020 5pm
Union Berlin
0-2
Bayern
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Union Berlin
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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