Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
