Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (4.64%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Nacional |
68.09% ( -4.08) | 19.83% ( 1.95) | 12.09% ( 2.14) |
Both teams to score 44.06% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( -2.63) | 48.68% ( 2.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( -2.44) | 70.79% ( 2.44) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.72% ( -1.92) | 13.28% ( 1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.9% ( -4.02) | 40.1% ( 4.02) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.81% ( 2.33) | 49.19% ( -2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.91% ( 1.6) | 84.09% ( -1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 8.96% ( -1.07) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.93) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.55) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 68.08% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.91) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.49% Total : 12.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |