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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional

Guimaraes
vs.
Nacional

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Nacional

It has been a difficult first half of the season for newly-promoted Nacional, who find themselves languishing at the wrong end of the table heading into the new year.    Guimaraes, meanwhile, made it seven straight home games without defeat with their midweek stalemate against Fiorentina, claiming five wins and two draws, and we are backing them to see off the Alvinegros, who have struggled to impose themselves on the road.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (4.64%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
68.09% (-4.084 -4.08) 19.83% (1.945 1.95) 12.09% (2.136 2.14)
Both teams to score 44.06% (1.086 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-2.63 -2.63)48.68% (2.629 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-2.439 -2.44)70.79% (2.438 2.44)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (-1.919 -1.92)13.28% (1.917 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.9% (-4.017 -4.02)40.1% (4.016 4.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.81% (2.325 2.33)49.19% (-2.325 -2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.91% (1.595 1.6)84.09% (-1.596 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 68.08%
    Nacional 12.09%
    Draw 19.83%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
2-0 @ 13.31% (-0.53 -0.53)
1-0 @ 13.19% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.263 0.26)
3-0 @ 8.96% (-1.072 -1.07)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.934 -0.93)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.547 -0.55)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 68.08%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.913 0.91)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.305 0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.752 0.75)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.519 0.52)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.357 0.36)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 12.09%

Who will win Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Guimaraes and Nacional?

Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Nacional
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Guimaraes
3-1
Nacional
Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')
Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')
May 5, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Toze (11' pen.), Hanin (78')
Wakaso (4'), Davidson (45'), Hanin (87'), Dodo (87')
Wakaso (24')
Coelho (82'), Alhassan (92')
Arabidze (12'), Campos (60'), Alhassan (64'), Camacho (65'), Goncalves (69')
Jan 2, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Camacho (9')
Rochez (22'), Hamzaoui (66'), Franca (78')

Davidson (12'), John (27'), Celis (46'), Osorio (53')
Mar 31, 2017 9pm
Nacional
1-2
Guimaraes
Sayed (91')
Sequeira (52'), Cesar (56'), Facchini (94'), Sayed (95')
Correia (95')
Miranda (25'), Texeira (86')
Ferreira (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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