Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.25% | 27.7% | 44.06% |
Both teams to score 46.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.15% | 58.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.65% | 79.36% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% | 36.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% | 73.48% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% | 26.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% | 61.77% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |