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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Oliveira (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Frimpong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 31 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Moreirense

Still licking their wounds from their Taca Liga exits, Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense will both be looking to mark their return to league action on a more positive note. Borges's men boast an outstanding home record against Os verdes e brancos and we are backing them to come away with all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
63.9% (-0.339 -0.34) 21.21% (0.283 0.28) 14.88% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-1.069 -1.07)48.47% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.983 -0.98)70.6% (0.97999999999999 0.98)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)14.49% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (-0.871 -0.87)42.48% (0.869 0.87)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.28% (-0.575 -0.57)44.72% (0.575 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.466 -0.47)80.71% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.89%
    Moreirense 14.88%
    Draw 21.21%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.89%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.88%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Moreirense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Moreirense
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-0
Moreirense
Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
9Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
10MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
11Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
12Gil Vicente195772228-622
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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