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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Oliveira (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Frimpong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 31 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Moreirense

Still licking their wounds from their Taca Liga exits, Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense will both be looking to mark their return to league action on a more positive note. Borges's men boast an outstanding home record against Os verdes e brancos and we are backing them to come away with all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
63.9% (-0.339 -0.34) 21.21% (0.283 0.28) 14.88% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.27% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-1.069 -1.07)48.47% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.983 -0.98)70.6% (0.97999999999999 0.98)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)14.49% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (-0.871 -0.87)42.48% (0.869 0.87)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.28% (-0.575 -0.57)44.72% (0.575 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.466 -0.47)80.71% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.89%
    Moreirense 14.88%
    Draw 21.21%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.89%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.88%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Moreirense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Moreirense
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-0
Moreirense
Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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