MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:26:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Moreirense

Estrela Amadora
2 - 1
Moreirense

Bucca (2'), Kikas (20')
Bucca (46'), Cissokho (57'), Varela (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ramos (83')
Silva (69'), Nlavo (73'), Miguel Costa Santos (86')
Peixoto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, September 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Moreirense

While Estrela could respond to the managerial change positively, they may have to settle for a point against a Moreirense side that typically thrives in this fixture, notching 4-2 and 1-0 wins in the last two visits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
41.98% (-0.446 -0.45) 27.28% (-0.143 -0.14) 30.73% (0.585 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.87% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.724 0.72)56.41% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.582 0.58)77.42% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.099999999999994 0.1)26.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (0.133 0.13)61.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.812 0.81)33.48% (-0.815 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.88 0.88)70.12% (-0.883 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 41.97%
    Moreirense 30.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Estrela AmadoraDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense

Estrela Amadora
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Moreirense
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')
Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')
Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
4-2
Estrela Amadora
Franco (32' pen.), Pacheco (45'), Alan (69'), Kodisang (83')
Salomao (26'), N'do (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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