Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Servette
Thursday, August 8 at 8.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 8 at 8.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica B 0-2 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Braga 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Braga only lost four home games last season and have already had three matches in Europe to get up to full speed this term. They also beat this opponent convincingly home and away in the last campaign and we feel they will get the new season started with a fairly comfortable win in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
70.55% ( 0.06) | 17.58% ( -0.05) | 11.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( 0.23) | 39.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( 0.24) | 61.55% ( -0.25) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% ( 0.07) | 9.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.13% ( 0.18) | 32.86% ( -0.18) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( 0.14) | 43.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.27% ( 0.11) | 79.72% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 70.55%
Estrela Amadora 11.87%
Draw 17.58%
| Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.55% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.58% | 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.87% |
How you voted: Braga vs Estrela Amadora
Braga
84.8%Draw
6.5%Estrela Amadora
8.7%46
Head to Head
Form Guide
