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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estrela Amadora

Braga
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

El Ouazzani (53')
Moutinho (67'), Zalazar (86'), Marques (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kikas (80')
Keliano (45'), Nani (86'), Ruiz (90'), Bucca (90'), Lopes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Servette
Thursday, August 8 at 8.30pm in Europa League

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica B 0-2 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Braga 2-0 Estrela Amadora

 Braga only lost four home games last season and have already had three matches in Europe to get up to full speed this term. They also beat this opponent convincingly home and away in the last campaign and we feel they will get the new season started with a fairly comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawEstrela Amadora
70.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 17.58% (-0.055 -0.05) 11.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.87% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.23 0.23)39.21% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (0.241 0.24)61.55% (-0.246 -0.25)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (0.073000000000008 0.07)9.93% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.13% (0.176 0.18)32.86% (-0.181 -0.18)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (0.136 0.14)43.51% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.27% (0.11 0.11)79.72% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Braga 70.55%
    Estrela Amadora 11.87%
    Draw 17.58%
BragaDrawEstrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 70.55%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 17.58%
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 11.87%

How you voted: Braga vs Estrela Amadora

Braga
84.8%
Draw
6.5%
Estrela Amadora
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Braga
3-0
Estrela Amadora
Banza (57' pen.), Bruma (84'), Fernandes (90+3')
Mendes (69'), Banza (82')

Bucca (81')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
2-4
Braga
Kikas (75'), Felipe (79')
Cordeiro (17')
Djalo (13', 49'), Banza (68'), Horta (90+4')
Fonte (44'), Magalhaes (75'), Saatci (78')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes540162412
4Benfica531194510
5FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
7Braga52215418
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
14BoavistaBoavista411212-14
15Nacional511349-54
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora401316-51
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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