MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 16:45:33| >> :60:539:539:
Estrela Amadora
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Brentford logo

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Brentford

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Estrela Amadora and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Brentford
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Brentford

Brentford will be the favourites to claim the victory on Tuesday, but we are expecting a close match between two well-matched sides. The Bees impressed against Benfica last time out and should have enough quality to record a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBrentford
35.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 39.39% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)66.65% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.22% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.012999999999991 0.01)22.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)55.92% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 35.92%
    Brentford 39.39%
    Draw 24.69%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Brentford

Estrela Amadora
Draw
Brentford
Estrela Amadora
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Brentford
71.4%
14
rhs 2.0
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