

Pacos de Ferreira4 - 3Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, July 24 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, July 24 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
51.8% | 25.02% | 23.17% |
Both teams to score 49.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.64% | 52.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% | 74.04% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% | 20.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% | 52.51% |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% | 37.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% | 74.3% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.17% |