Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril2 - 0Pacos de Ferreira
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Estoril Praia and Pacos de Ferreira.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
42.92% ( 0.07) | 26.55% ( -0.02) | 30.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( 0.07) | 53.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( 0.05) | 75.18% ( -0.06) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.06) | 24.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.63% ( 0.09) | 59.37% ( -0.09) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0) | 68.71% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia 42.92%
Pacos de Ferreira 30.53%
Draw 26.55%
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.53% |
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6pm
Aug 26, 2022 8.15pm
Form Guide
