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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Estoril

Boavista
1 - 0
Estoril

Mangas (50')
Bozenik (67'), Lourenco (85'), Mangas (90+11')
Watai (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gamboa (29'), Ndiaye (59'), Gouveia (68'), Alvaro (78'), Santos (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Boavista 1-1 Estoril Praia

Both teams can take positives out of their recent results, Boavista more so than Estoril. Nevertheless, with the visitors easing the pressure on themselves last time out, we feel that playing with a greater freedom here will see them earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
64.15% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06) 20.46% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 15.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (0.066000000000003 0.07)44.25% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)66.63% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.69% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (0.108 0.11)41.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05% (0.096 0.1)77.95% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 64.14%
    Estoril Praia 15.4%
    Draw 20.46%
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.14%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 15.4%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Mexer (55'), Alvaro (58')
Njie (4')
Vukotic (45'), Reisinho (86')
Camara (41')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
gameweek 24
Estoril
2-3
Boavista
Vital (6'), Acevedo (54' pen.)
Gamboa (60'), Coly (88')
Musa (20'), Abascal (49'), Santos (85')
Santos (51'), Njie (66'), Sauer (88'), Porozo (89')
Sep 27, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 7
Boavista
1-1
Estoril
Sauer (24' pen.)
Gorre (45+2'), Ferreira (76'), Beiranvand (90+6')
Franco (71')
Chiquinho (68'), Joaozinho (87')
Mar 10, 2018 8.30pm
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Simao (85' pen.)
Henrique (12'), Simao (42'), Carraca (87')

Allano (54'), Ribeiro (76'), Dankler (81')
Oct 20, 2017 8.30pm
Estoril
0-3
Boavista

Eduardo (54'), Brandao (82')
Carraca (20'), Pedro (33'), Kuca (90')
Simao (22'), Sparagna (31'), Vagner (36'), Raphael (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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