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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Chaves

Estoril
0 - 2
Chaves


Joaozinho (60'), Lea Siliki (85'), Carvalho (85')
Joaozinho (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vitoria (31' pen.), Teixeira (71' pen.)
Guimaraes (66'), Sarr (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 3-2 Estoril
Friday, March 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Chaves

 Buoyed by their victory over Portimonense, Chaves will head into the weekend with their morale high as they look to move into the top half of the table. However, Estoril Praia cannot be ruled out, given their home advantage. While both sides are evenly-matched and capable of picking up the win, we predict that the game will end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
35.56% (-0.791 -0.79) 27.39% (-0.192 -0.19) 37.05% (0.985 0.98)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (0.727 0.73)55.95% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (0.589 0.59)77.05% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)30% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)66.12% (0.164 0.16)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.96000000000001 0.96)29.08% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (1.169 1.17)64.99% (-1.164 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 35.55%
    Chaves 37.05%
    Draw 27.39%
Estoril PraiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Estoril vs Chaves

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Chaves
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Chaves
1-1
Estoril
Hernandez (39')
Ponck (23')
Martins (76')
Feb 25, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-0
Estoril
William (17'), Pereira (84')
Pereira (29'), Ferreira (83'), Eustaquio (88')

Rodrigues (32'), Kyriakou (78'), Ribeiro (80')
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
Estoril
0-2
Chaves

Lucao (61'), Evangelista (90')
Bressan (39'), Djavan (68')
May 8, 2017 8pm
Estoril
2-1
Chaves
Claro (72'), Mattheus (87')
Afonso (21'), Mattheus (81'), Graca (92')
Bressan (23')
Filipe (83')
Dec 22, 2016 9pm
Chaves
1-0
Estoril
Martins (68')
Paulinho (18'), Assis (42')

Dankler (25'), Matheus (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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