Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.35% ( -0.19) | 28.85% ( 0.19) | 35.79% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.68% ( -0.67) | 61.32% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.76% ( -0.5) | 81.23% ( 0.5) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0.47) | 32.85% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0.53) | 69.42% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.34) | 32.56% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.38) | 69.09% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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