Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
54.66% ( -0.01) | 25.22% ( 0) | 20.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% ( -0.01) | 56.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% ( -0.01) | 77.23% ( 0.01) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.01) | 20.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0.02) | 53.09% ( 0.02) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.21% ( 0) | 42.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.89% ( 0) | 79.12% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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