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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Porto
4 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Evanilson (4', 39'), Taremi (31'), Delgado (55' og.)
Grujic (68'), Mario (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pires (44'), Delgado (69'), Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a horrid start to the campaign. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are tipping the Dragoes to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.4% (0.146 0.15) 15.9% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08) 8.7% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (0.206 0.21)41.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (0.21 0.21)63.44% (-0.203 -0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.090999999999994 0.09)9.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.77% (0.206 0.21)31.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.07% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)50.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.29%
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.39%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.7%
    Draw 15.9%
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 75.39%
1-1 @ 7.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.9%
0-1 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Porto vs Pacos de Ferreira

Porto
94.0%
Draw
6.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-4
Porto
Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')
Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Porto
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Diaz (44'), Wendell (52')
Taremi (16'), Wendell (30'), Pepe (54')
Taremi (90+5')
Santos (19')
Ferreira (17'), Antunes (32'), Denilson (40'), Delgado (79'), Baixinho (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
Porto
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Pepe (77'), Oliveira (78')
Fernandes Conceicao (90')

de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Costa (70')
Oct 30, 2020 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
3-2
Porto
Jan (11'), Eustaquio (43'), Costa (59' pen.)
Pedro (84')
Pepa (41')
Oliveira (45+7' pen.), Otavio (78')
Oliveira (84')
Conceicao (90+5')
Jun 29, 2020 9.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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