Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto2 - 1Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Atletico Madrid are knocked out of Europe entirely as Porto secure top spot in Champions League Group B with a 2-1 victory over Diego Simeone's side at the Estadio do Dragao.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Porto
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 3-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.96%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
41.39% ( 0.05) | 20.75% ( -0.03) | 37.86% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 74.44% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.82% ( 0.15) | 24.18% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.16% ( 0.2) | 43.84% ( -0.2) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% ( 0.08) | 13.09% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% ( 0.16) | 39.71% ( -0.16) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( 0.06) | 14.34% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.8% ( 0.11) | 42.2% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Porto 41.39%
Atletico Madrid 37.86%
Draw 20.75%
Porto | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 41.39% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.32% 3-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 37.86% |
How you voted: Porto vs Atletico
Porto
55.3%Draw
24.1%Atletico Madrid
20.6%394
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2022 8pm
Dec 11, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Atletico
2-0
Porto
Oct 1, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Porto
1-2
Atletico
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-22 17:22:51
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1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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