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Champions League
Club Brugge
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Porto

Brugge
0 - 4
Porto


Odoi (28'), Sylla (54'), Onyedika (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taremi (33', 70'), Evanilson (57'), Eustaquio (60')
Eustaquio (29'), Otavio (42'), Carmo (49'), Uribe (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Benfica
Friday, October 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Club Brugge 1-2 Porto

 Desperate not only for Champions League progression, but also to make up for an O Classico defeat on Friday, Porto should come into this game extremely motivated to get the three points. Club Brugge are yet to concede in the Champions League this season and will not roll over easily, but their early qualification could open the door for a crucial away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawPorto
42.02% (-0.251 -0.25) 22.24% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 35.73% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 68.05% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.18% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.81% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)16.15% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39% (-0.211 -0.21)45.6% (0.207 0.21)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.082000000000008 0.08)18.83% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.73% (0.146 0.15)50.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 42.02%
    Porto 35.73%
    Draw 22.24%
Club BruggeDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Brugge vs Porto

Club Brugge
43.9%
Draw
17.0%
Porto
39.1%
542
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group B
Porto
0-4
Brugge

Mario (15')
Jutlga Blanc (15' pen.), Sowah (47'), Skov Olsen (52'), Nusa (89')
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
Porto
1-0
Brugge
Silva (37')
Herrera (3'), Felipe (35')

Denswil (34'), Diaby (41'), Vormer (86'), Claudemir (88')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
Brugge
1-2
Porto
Vossen (12')
Limbombe (43'), Simons (83')
Layun (68'), Silva (91' pen.)
Layun (41')
rhs 2.0
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