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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 1
Porto

Gouveia (41')
Carvalho (23'), Ndiaye (45+1'), Martins (56'), Geraldes (57'), Alvaro (90+11'), Figueira (90+11'), Vital (90+13')
Ndiaye (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
Franco (5'), Cardoso (59'), Grujic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-4 Brugge
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Porto

While Estoril Praia will be looking to make it two wins from two in the league for the first time since September 2021, they have struggled to grind out results against Porto, who are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters. We predict that the league champions will extend their dominance over the hosts by claiming a resounding victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
9.98% (-0.462 -0.46) 17.55% (0.141 0.14) 72.47% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-2.213 -2.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-2.006 -2.01)44.5% (2.003 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-1.971 -1.97)66.87% (1.967 1.97)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.55% (-2.216 -2.22)50.45% (2.214 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.03% (-1.565 -1.57)84.97% (1.563 1.56)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.461 -0.46)10.86% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-1.027 -1.03)34.98% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 9.98%
    Porto 72.46%
    Draw 17.55%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.75% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 2.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 9.98%
1-1 @ 8.32% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.55%
0-2 @ 13.5% (0.65 0.65)
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.81 0.81)
0-3 @ 9.99% (0.298 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-4 @ 5.55% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.79% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-5 @ 2.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-5 @ 1.68% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 72.46%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
2.2%
Draw
11.1%
Porto
86.7%
45
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
Aug 9, 2017 7pm
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Marega (35', 62'), Brahimi (54'), Marcano (71')
Pereira (77')

Allano (51')
Jan 28, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
1-2
Porto
Dankler (93')
Amado (40'), Diakhite (47'), Claro (51'), Mano (55'), Tocantins (56'), Moreira (82'), Dankler (94')
Silva (82' pen.), Corona (91')
Herrera (52'), Andre (76'), Pedro (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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