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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Porto

Gil Vicente
0 - 2
Porto


Carvalho (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Taremi (41'), Galeno (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-1 Porto
Sunday, August 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 0-3 Porto

Off the back of a shock defeat, Porto will head into the weekend desperate to restore some price and set the pace for the Champions League clash. Conceicao's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are backing them to make light work of the floundering Gil Vicente side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
20.8% (-1.001 -1) 22.94% (-0.414 -0.41) 56.26% (1.413 1.41)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.555 0.56)46.46% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.519 0.52)68.74% (-0.52 -0.52)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (-0.668 -0.67)36.51% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (-0.679 -0.68)73.3% (0.67800000000001 0.68)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.696 0.7)16.32% (-0.696 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (1.249 1.25)45.9% (-1.25 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 20.8%
    Porto 56.26%
    Draw 22.94%
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-1 @ 5.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.79% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.168 0.17)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.27 0.27)
2-3 @ 3% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 2.68% (0.181 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.045 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 56.26%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Porto

Gil Vicente
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Porto
85.3%
34
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 8.30pm
Sep 24, 2021 9.15pm
Gil Vicente
1-2
Porto
Lino (24')
Carvalho (66'), Leautey (81'), Bueno (87'), Navarro (87'), Cunha (90')
Taremi (9'), Oliveira (89')
Mbemba (22'), Vieira (50'), Wendell (87'), Otavio (90+1')
Mar 6, 2021 6pm
Jan 29, 2021 8.45pm
Gil Vicente
0-2
Porto

Sam (29'), Goncalves (43'), Mineiro (90+3')
Corona (10'), Taremi (88')
Grujic (80')
Oct 24, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Gil Vicente
Evanilson (41')
Sanusi (26'), Uribe (30'), Nakajima (73'), Pepe (74'), Paulo Marceneiro Conceicao (90+6')
Sanusi (74')

Nogueira (58'), Afonso (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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