Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Portimonense0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Portimonense 1-3 Porto
Buoyed by their European victory, Porto will return to Primeira Liga with sky-high confidence as they look to move to the top of the table. While Portimonense have enjoyed a solid start to the season, they have stumbled in recent weeks, losing two of their last three outings. We predict a one-sided affair on Saturday with Porto claiming all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
17.91% ( 1.34) | 22.19% ( 0.57) | 59.91% ( -1.9) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
